Aggregate behaviour of investment in China, 1953-96 : an analysis of investment hunger and fluctuation Laixiang Sun.

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Book's title: Aggregate behaviour of investment in China, 1953-96 : an analysis of investment hunger and fluctuation Laixiang Sun.
Library of Congress Control Number: 2001021626
International Standard Book Number (ISBN):0333948092
Cataloging Source:DLC, DLC DLC
Authentication Code:pcc
Geographic Area Code:a-cc
-
Library of Congress Call Number:HG5782 .S87 2001
Dewey Decimal Classification Number:332.6/0951$221
Personal Name:Sun, Laixiang, 1957-
Publication, Distribution, etc.:Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire ; New York . Palgrave, in association with Institute of Social Studies, (c)2001.
Physical Description:xiii, 290 p. : ill. ;, 23 cm.
Bibliography, etc. Note:Includes bibliographical references (p. 260-281) and index.
Formatted Contents Note:Machine generated contents note: 1 Introduction
i. Key Questions
1.2 Growth Cycle Model
1.3 Background
1.4 Cycles or Fluctuation?
1.5 Methodological Issues
1.6 Scope and Notes on the Database
1.7 Organization of this Book
2 Integrating Selected Theories Based on China's
Experiences
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Incorporating the Investment Cycle Theory of the 'Hungarian
School' with China's Experiences
2.2.1 Soft budget constraint, expansion drive and investment
hunger
2.2.2 Bauer's four-phase theory and China's investment cycles
2.2.3 Single control equation model and the relevant problems
2.3 Kaleckian Economic Growth Theory and China's Capital
Accumulation Mechanism
2.3.1 The causality line: From growtf rate to investment to
saving to bottleneck constraints
2.3.2 Generalizing the Kaleckian labour constraint equation
e: ; eto a key factor constraint equation
2.3.3 China's capital accumulation mechanism and Kaleckian
agricultural-determining growt theory
2.3.4 Equilibrium growth path and fluctuations
2.4 Existing Researches on China's Investment Cycles
2.4.1 The efforts to link investment cycles to agricultural
fluctuations
2.4.2 Reform cycle theory and the persistence of substitution
between growth and bottleneck
2.5 Insights from Wester Business Cycle Theories
2.6 Summary: The Implications for Modelling Investment Cycles
in China
3 The State Investment System and its Response to
Reform
3.1 Introduction
3.2 A Historical Overview of the State Investment System
3.3 The Project Approval System and Project Approval Norms
3.3.1 The project approval system: Formal procedure versus
real practice
3.3.2 Project approval norms and locality's evasion by collusion
3.4 Credit Plan and Government Control over Financial Resources
3.4.1 Investment plan, credit plan and mandatory loans
3.4.2 Central government investment hunger and key state
projects
3.4.3 Lending outside the credit plan
3.4.4 Adjustments of nominal interest rates and patterns of
real interest rates
3.4.5 Recurring cycle of inflation and retrenchment during
the reform period
3.5 The Material Supply System
3.5.1 Material supply system: Function and characteristics
3.5.2 Declining importance and its special focus since reform
3.6 Soft Budget Constraint and Investment Hunger in State-owned
Enterprises .:
3.7 The Development Drive and Investment Hunger of Local
Governments
3.8 Summary: Insatiable Investment Demand Exists at All Levels
4 Agricultural Constraint to the Insatiable Investment
Demand
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Contribution of the Agriculture to the National Economy
4.3 The Change of Factor Proportions in China's Agriculture
4.4 The Specific Institutional Setting to Help Minimize
Agricultural Fluctuation
4.5 Selection of Indicator System
4.6 Agricultural Fluctuations and Macroeconomic Adjustment:
Empirical Evidence
4.7 Agricultural Fluctuations and Macroeconomic Adjustment:
Stylized Facts
4.8 Summary
Data Appendix
5 Energy as the Representative of Producer Goods
Constraints
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Energy Situation in China: An Overview
5.3 Widespread and Chronic Shortage of Energy in China
5,4 Transport Bottleneck and Effective Energy Supply
5.5 Energy Constraint to Investment Demand: Some Primary
Econometric Evidence
5.6 Summary
6 Estimating Investment Functions Based on
Cointegration
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Unit Roots, Equilibrium Relationship and Error Correction
Mechanism
6.3 Modelling Strategy and Steps: A General Framework
6.4 Estimate of Cointegration and Investment Level Equation
6.5 Estimate of Conditional Investment Growth Rate Equation
6.6 Theoretical and Empirical Implications: A Summary
Appendices
Al Data
A2 Cointegration analysis of the vector system
A3 Exogeneity
7 Conclusions
7.1 Introduction
.,I f:1
7.2 Major Theoretical Contributions of the Research
7.3 Aggregate Investment Behaviour in China: Stylized Facts
7.3.1 System-generated insatiable investment demand exists
at all levels
7.3.2 Supply and distributive barriers to investment expansion
and retrenchment campaigns
7.4 Inefficiency as a Consequence of Investment Hunger and
Bureaucratic Coordination
7.5 The Difficulties and Possible Selections of Reforming the State
Investment System
7.6 Limitations of the Research
7.7 Summary
Notes
Bibliography
Index .
Rubrics: Investments
China
Kaleckian Model of Growth and Distribution

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